A Study of the Interaction Between Exchange Rates and Stock Market Prices

Abstract

This study examines the interaction between exchange rates and stock market prices in some developed economies (viz. Australia, Japan, Canada, UK, USA, Hong Kong, and Switzerland) and some emerging economies (China and Brazil). The study period considered is from 01/01/2007 to 23/07/2012, and the study is based on weekly data. The results of the study provide evidence of uni-directional Granger causality of exchange rates on stock market returns, except in cases of China and Canada. The results support the flow-oriented model, which suggests that changes in exchange rates cause changes in stock prices, and provide evidence against the portfolio balance model, which suggests that stock market movements cause changes in the exchange rate.